ITUB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITUB - Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. American Depositary Shares
$7.84
-0.26 (-3.21%)
▼
5d:
-6.33%
30d:
-15.97%
90d:
-14.41%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ITUB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ITUB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.59
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.44
7.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITUB is currently trading at $7.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.25 to $9.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.74 (+11.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.74 (+11.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.25 -
$9.15
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($8.74)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.25 -
$9.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.80
Resistance Level
$8.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.92
Wall Street Target
$8.74
(+11.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Profit Margin
33.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 9.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.44
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$7.06
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$6.70
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$7.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.3%)
$30.93
(+295%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 12.3%)
$11.10
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 12.3%)
$9.44
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$10.14
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.8%, PE expands to 10.3
Base Case
$9.22
(+18%)
Market implied 17.8%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$5.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$9.20
(+17.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
39477 shares
2026-04-17
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20000 shares
2026-04-15
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SELL
50000 shares
2026-04-14
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