IX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IX - ORIX Corporation American Depositary Shares (each representing One (1) Share of Common Stock)
$33.19
-0.91 (-2.67%)
▼
5d:
-1.25%
30d:
+5.8%
90d:
+6.21%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: IX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.09
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IX is currently trading at $33.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.21 to $32.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.18, while resistance sits at $34.37.
Market Sentiment: IX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.18, while resistance sits at $34.37.
Market Sentiment: IX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.21 -
$32.77
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.66)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.21 -
$32.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.18
Resistance Level
$34.37
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.22
Wall Street Target
$34.66
(+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.6%
Profit Margin
15.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.56
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$33.92
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$34.30
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 4.1%)
$67.25
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 4.1%)
$37.46
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 4.1%)
$31.84
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.64
Bull Case
$38.59
(+16%)
Analyst growth 2.9%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$35.08
(+6%)
Market implied 2.9%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$23.19
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 08, 2026 9:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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