IX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IX - ORIX Corporation American Depositary Shares (each representing One (1) Share of Common Stock)
$39.06
0.66 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
+0.64%
90d:
+28.28%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Get Alerted When IX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.74
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IX is currently trading at $39.06, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.25 to $39.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$38.25 -
$39.52
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.87)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with 28.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.25 -
$39.52
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.73
Resistance Level
$39.84
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.38
Wall Street Target
$38.87
(-0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.7%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.86
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$42.74
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$44.70
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.1%)
$66.76
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 4.1%)
$44.08
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 4.1%)
$37.47
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case
$46.45
(+19%)
Analyst growth 10.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$42.22
(+8%)
Market implied 10.0%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$26.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is IX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Financial Conglomerates Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Financial Conglomerates by analyst ratings.
