JD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JD - JD.com, Inc.
$28.48
-0.59 (-2.03%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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1 traders called JD this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.77
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.90
7.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JD is currently trading at $28.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.85 to $29.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.3) is in line with its historical norms (1.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.94 (+40.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.94 (+40.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$28.85 -
$29.85
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.8% below Wall St target ($40.94)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 14.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.85 -
$29.85
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.33
Resistance Level
$30.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.34
Wall Street Target
$40.94
(+40.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.2%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
1.3 vs 1.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.48
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$29.89
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$30.31
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.38
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 20.4%)
$843.83
(+2803%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.3, Growth: 20.4%)
$50.75
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.1, Growth: 20.4%)
$43.14
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.06
Bull Case
$64.90
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$59.00
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$20.06
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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