JILL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JILL - J.Jill, Inc. Common Stock
$15.61
-0.16 (-1.01%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JILL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JILL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.28
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.83
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JILL is currently trading at $15.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.29 to $16.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (4.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$14.29 -
$16.26
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($18.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with -0.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.29 -
$16.26
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.39
Resistance Level
$17.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.72
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 4.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.73
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$17.75
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$18.84
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 18.2%)
$101.45
(+543%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 18.2%)
$26.03
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 18.2%)
$21.84
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.18
Bull Case
$21.58
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.4%, PE expands to 7.8
Base Case
$19.62
(+26%)
Market implied 26.4%, PE stable at 7.1
Bear Case
$10.55
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JILL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced JILL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JILL price and gamma walls.
