JKHY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JKHY - Henry (Jack) & Associates
$146.87
4.45 (3.12%)
▲
5d:
+14.11%
30d:
+7.97%
90d:
-5.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: JKHY is 7.5% above its trading range ($136.67). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: JKHY is 7.5% above its trading range ($136.67). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$222.39
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JKHY is currently trading at $146.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.32 to $136.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.7) compared to its historical average (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JKHY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $141.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: JKHY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $185.46 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JKHY is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $141.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: JKHY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $185.46 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$126.32 -
$136.67
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JKHY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($185.46)
- CAUTION: Extended 7.5% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.32 -
$136.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.78
Resistance Level
$141.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.68
Wall Street Target
$185.46
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 23.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$141.00
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$135.36
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$129.94
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→23)
$146.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.2%)
$195.79
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.2%)
$185.90
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 8.2%)
$158.01
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.17
Bull Case
$155.18
(+6%)
Analyst growth -0.9%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$141.07
(-4%)
Market implied -0.9%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$96.85
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.7 to 23.3
Stabilization Target:
$165.48
(+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 9:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JKHY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-06
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