KAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KAI - Kadant Inc.
$321.04
-2.92 (-0.90%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KAI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$374.80
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$232.72
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KAI is currently trading at $321.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $295.09 to $323.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $303.46, while resistance sits at $334.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $303.46, while resistance sits at $334.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$295.09 -
$323.23
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
7th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($338.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with None% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$295.09 -
$323.23
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$15.97
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$303.46
Resistance Level
$334.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.55
Wall Street Target
$338.33
(+4.4%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
31.6 vs 29.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$333.03
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$342.36
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$351.94
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$323.48
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.6, Growth: 11.8%)
$452.53
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$319.84
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 11.8%)
$271.86
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.64
Bull Case
$413.42
(+29%)
Analyst growth 18.8%, PE expands to 40.3
Base Case
$375.83
(+17%)
Market implied 18.8%, PE stable at 36.6
Bear Case
$215.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas C Leonard
SELL
415 shares
2025-08-27
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Advanced KAI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KAI price and gamma walls.
