KD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KD - Kyndryl Holdings, Inc.
$12.25
0.25 (2.08%)
▲
5d:
+13.53%
30d:
-2.78%
90d:
-4.67%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
30d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.64
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.40
33.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KD is currently trading at $12.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.11 to $12.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.5) compared to its historical average (6.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.16, while resistance sits at $13.01.
Market Sentiment: KD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.10 (+15.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.16, while resistance sits at $13.01.
Market Sentiment: KD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.10 (+15.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.11 -
$12.20
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.10)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.11 -
$12.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.16
Resistance Level
$13.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.47
Wall Street Target
$14.10
(+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.1%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.5 vs 6.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.38
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$10.57
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$9.82
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→7)
$12.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.5%)
$103.36
(+744%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.5, Growth: 28.5%)
$25.97
(+112%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 28.5%)
$22.08
(+80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.85
Bull Case
$27.25
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$24.77
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$8.42
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.5 to 6.8
Stabilization Target:
$15.22
(+24.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 12:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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