KEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEX - Kirby Corporation
$117.66
-4.51 (-3.69%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KEX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: KEX is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$170.98
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.16
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEX is currently trading at $117.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $113.81 to $128.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $115.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.50 (+13.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $115.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.50 (+13.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$113.81 -
$128.12
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KEX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($138.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$113.81 -
$128.12
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$115.00
Resistance Level
$132.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.45
Wall Street Target
$138.50
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
102.1%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.76
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$125.37
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$127.00
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$122.28
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.6%)
$217.05
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 11.6%)
$169.82
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 11.6%)
$144.35
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.38
Bull Case
$183.95
(+51%)
Analyst growth 30.1%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$167.23
(+37%)
Market implied 30.1%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$87.37
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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