KMB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KMB - Kimberly-Clark Corp.
$99.99
1.33 (1.35%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
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1 traders called KMB this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KMB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KMB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.36
Based on 3.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.73
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMB is currently trading at $99.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.58 to $101.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.07 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMB is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $120.07 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$98.58 -
$101.31
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($120.07)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$98.58 -
$101.31
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.03
Resistance Level
$103.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.00
Wall Street Target
$120.07
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-17.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.09
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$98.20
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$97.31
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$100.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 2.3%)
$183.51
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 2.3%)
$106.97
(+7%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 2.3%)
$90.92
(-9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.86
Bull Case
$173.46
(+74%)
Analyst growth 58.4%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$157.69
(+58%)
Market implied 58.4%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$67.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$103.08
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 7:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
2025-09-29
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SELL
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