KMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KMI - Kinder Morgan, Inc.

NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION
$30.49
0.25 (0.83%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 15, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KMI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.19
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.71
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KMI is currently trading at $30.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.92 to $29.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.7) is in line with its historical norms (19.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KMI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: KMI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $26.92 - $29.20
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

Protect Your Profits

KMI is technically overbought (RSI 76). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.60)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $26.92 - $29.20
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $27.39
Resistance Level $30.57
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.67
Wall Street Target $31.60 (+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 50.0%
Profit Margin 18.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.5% premium
PE vs Historical 20.7 vs 19.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.69 (+2%)
2-Year Target $31.15 (+3%)
3-Year Target $31.62 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→20) PE COMPRESSION $30.14 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.6%) $40.62 (+34%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.6%) $37.65 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 7.6%) $32.01 (+6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case $35.32 (+16%)
Analyst growth 6.8%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case $32.11 (+5%)
Market implied 6.8%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case $20.45 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John W Schlosser SELL 6166 shares 2025-10-06
John W Schlosser SELL 6166 shares 2025-09-08
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2025-09-05

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Advanced KMI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KMI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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