KNOP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNOP - KNOT OFFSHORE PARTNERS LP
$9.88
-0.44 (-4.26%)
▼
5d:
-0.1%
30d:
-7.58%
90d:
-6.88%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KNOP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KNOP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.71
27.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNOP is currently trading at $9.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.95 to $10.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNOP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.77, while resistance sits at $10.69. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: KNOP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+16.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNOP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.77, while resistance sits at $10.69. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: KNOP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+16.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$9.95 -
$10.61
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.95 -
$10.61
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.33
(3.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.77
Resistance Level
$10.69
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.64
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.0%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.00
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.69
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$9.39
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$10.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 55.2%)
$102.06
(+889%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 55.2%)
$34.83
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 55.2%)
$29.61
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$9.43
(-5%)
Analyst growth -6.3%, PE expands to 7.5
Base Case
$8.57
(-13%)
Market implied -6.3%, PE stable at 6.8
Bear Case
$6.22
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$11.34
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNOP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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