KNOP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KNOP - KNOT OFFSHORE PARTNERS LP

Water Transportation
$10.67
0.05 (0.47%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 18, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNOP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.76
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.65
8.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KNOP is currently trading at $10.67, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.32 to $10.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KNOP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.22, while resistance sits at $11.15.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $10.32 - $10.70
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($10.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.32 - $10.70
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.36 (3.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.22
Resistance Level $11.15
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.40
Wall Street Target $10.00 (-5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 49.0%
Profit Margin 15.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.4 vs 8.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.51 (-1%)
2-Year Target $10.41 (-2%)
3-Year Target $10.30 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→9) $10.56 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 19.3%) $47.95 (+352%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 19.3%) $18.05 (+70%)
Bear: (PE: 7.1, Growth: 19.3%) $15.34 (+45%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case $10.98 (+3%)
Analyst growth -6.3%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case $9.98 (-7%)
Market implied -6.3%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case $7.24 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 8.6
Stabilization Target: $10.88 (+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:22 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced KNOP Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KNOP price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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