KNOP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNOP - KNOT OFFSHORE PARTNERS LP
$10.67
0.05 (0.47%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNOP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNOP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.76
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.65
8.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNOP is currently trading at $10.67, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.32 to $10.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNOP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.22, while resistance sits at $11.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNOP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.22, while resistance sits at $11.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$10.32 -
$10.70
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($10.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.32 -
$10.70
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.36
(3.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.22
Resistance Level
$11.15
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.40
Wall Street Target
$10.00
(-5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.0%
Profit Margin
15.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.51
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$10.41
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$10.30
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$10.56
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 19.3%)
$47.95
(+352%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 19.3%)
$18.05
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 19.3%)
$15.34
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$10.98
(+3%)
Analyst growth -6.3%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$9.98
(-7%)
Market implied -6.3%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$7.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$10.88
(+2.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNOP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KNOP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KNOP price and gamma walls.