KNTK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNTK - Kinetik Holdings Inc.
$40.13
-0.78 (-1.91%)
▼
5d:
+0.58%
30d:
+11.32%
90d:
+8.9%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNTK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNTK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.23
Based on -1.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.15
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNTK is currently trading at $40.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.05 to $39.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.8) compared to its historical average (19.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNTK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.25, while resistance sits at $41.72.
Market Sentiment: KNTK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.54 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNTK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.25, while resistance sits at $41.72.
Market Sentiment: KNTK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $45.54 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$36.05 -
$39.68
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($45.54)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.0% growth with 17.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.05 -
$39.68
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.25
Resistance Level
$41.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.78
Wall Street Target
$45.54
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.4%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.0% premium
PE vs Historical
24.8 vs 19.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.34
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$46.81
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$50.55
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.18
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.8, Growth: -7.3%)
$32.00
(+-20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -7.3%)
$28.79
(-28%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -7.3%)
$24.47
(-39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.01 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.11
Bull Case
$48.46
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$40.13
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$30.70
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNTK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jamie Welch
BUY
5000 shares
2025-10-02
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