KOP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KOP - Koppers Holdings, Inc.
$37.34
-0.31 (-0.82%)
▼
5d:
-3.69%
30d:
-3.14%
90d:
+37.89%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: KOP shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 16th percentile) and market pricing in only 5.5% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: KOP shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 16th percentile) and market pricing in only 5.5% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.12
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.02
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KOP is currently trading at $37.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.93 to $38.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.01, while resistance sits at $39.09.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.67 (+31.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KOP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.01, while resistance sits at $39.09.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.67 (+31.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$35.93 -
$38.48
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
16th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.9% below Wall St target ($49.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.93 -
$38.48
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.90
(5.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.01
Resistance Level
$39.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.93
Wall Street Target
$49.67
(+31.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 6.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.72
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$41.91
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$44.21
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.90
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.9%)
$140.73
(+274%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$49.94
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 9.9%)
$42.45
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.74
Bull Case
$67.03
(+86%)
Analyst growth 73.6%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$60.93
(+69%)
Market implied 73.6%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$23.87
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 3:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is KOP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
M Leroy Ball
SELL
2489 shares
2026-03-17
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