KVUE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KVUE - Kenvue Inc.
$17.40
0.20 (1.16%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KVUE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KVUE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.42
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.92
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KVUE is currently trading at $17.40, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.93 to $17.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KVUE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KVUE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$16.93 -
$17.49
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.93 -
$17.49
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.99
Resistance Level
$17.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.60
Wall Street Target
$19.33
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.18
(0%)
2-Year Target
$17.17
(0%)
3-Year Target
$17.15
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$17.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$30.02
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 6.9%)
$20.99
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$17.85
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$28.04
(+61%)
Analyst growth 47.0%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$25.49
(+47%)
Market implied 47.0%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$11.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$17.20
(+0.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KVUE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Lisa C. McClain
BUY
2025-09-25
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
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Advanced KVUE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KVUE price and gamma walls.
