LASR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LASR - nLIGHT, Inc. Common Stock

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$45.61
-1.50 (-3.18%) β–Ό
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026 25d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: LASR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.86
Based on 14.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.98
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LASR is currently trading at $45.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.50 to $45.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 175.4) compared to its historical average (153.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LASR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.61, while resistance sits at $48.66. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: LASR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $38.50 - $45.08
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 10th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.43)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $38.50 - $45.08
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$4.20 (9.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.61
Resistance Level $48.66
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 175.39
Wall Street Target $47.43 (+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.9%
Profit Margin -19.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.4% premium
PE vs Historical 175.4 vs 153.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $49.18 (+4%)
2-Year Target $51.35 (+9%)
3-Year Target $53.61 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 175β†’154) PE COMPRESSION $47.04 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 175.4, Growth: 24.2%) $90.21 (+92%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 24.2%) $11.47 (-76%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 24.2%) $9.75 (-79%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott H Keeney SELL 62507 shares 2025-09-18
Scott H Keeney SELL 15391 shares 2025-09-12
Joseph John Corso SELL 3588 shares 2025-09-05

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Advanced LASR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LASR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for LASR

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