LDOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LDOS - Leidos Holdings, Inc.
$125.55
1.38 (1.11%)
▲
5d:
-4.35%
30d:
-21.06%
90d:
-26.77%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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1 traders called LDOS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LDOS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LDOS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$232.74
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$144.51
13.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LDOS is currently trading at $125.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.44 to $157.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LDOS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $121.53, while resistance sits at $153.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.29 (+51.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LDOS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $121.53, while resistance sits at $153.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.29 (+51.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$136.44 -
$157.96
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.6% below Wall St target ($190.29)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$136.44 -
$157.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$121.53
Resistance Level
$153.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.54
Wall Street Target
$190.29
(+51.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.99
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$101.70
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$91.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$130.46
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.8%)
$353.18
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 6.8%)
$152.89
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 6.8%)
$129.96
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.93
Bull Case
$164.44
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.4%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$149.49
(+19%)
Market implied 20.4%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$84.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$178.96
(+42.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LDOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth A Porter
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-07
Elizabeth A Porter
SELL
3000 shares
2026-01-20
Elizabeth A Porter
SELL
3000 shares
2025-12-19
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Advanced LDOS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LDOS price and gamma walls.
