LFST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LFST - LifeStance Health Group, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-HEALTH SERVICES
$6.24
-0.08 (-1.27%) β–Ό
5d: -4.44%
30d: -13.81%
90d: -12.48%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: LFST shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.56
46.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LFST is currently trading at $6.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.48 to $7.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (25.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LFST is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: LFST has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.83 (+57.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $6.48 - $7.17
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 57.6% below Wall St target ($9.83)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $6.48 - $7.17
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.25
Resistance Level $6.74
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.32
Wall Street Target $9.83 (+57.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.4%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.3 vs 25.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.62 (-10%)
2-Year Target $5.05 (-19%)
3-Year Target $4.55 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16β†’25) $7.05 (+13%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 26.8%) $17.44 (+179%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 26.8%) $12.73 (+104%)
Bear: (PE: 13.9, Growth: 26.8%) $10.82 (+74%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (64x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 64.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.10
Bull Case $7.88 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 67.3
Base Case $6.53 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 64.1
Bear Case $5.00 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 57.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 25.3
Stabilization Target: $9.67 (+55.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +55.0%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darren M Black SELL 4314939 shares 2026-03-02
Robert Bessler SELL 1701 shares 2025-12-22
Robert Bessler SELL 119942 shares 2025-12-19

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