LFVN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LFVN - Lifevantage Corporation Common Stock (Delaware)
$5.30
-0.16 (-2.93%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LFVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LFVN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.78
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.70
20.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LFVN is currently trading at $5.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.79 to $6.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (5.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LFVN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LFVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+165.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LFVN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LFVN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+165.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.79 -
$6.38
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LFVN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 165.6% below Wall St target ($14.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-13.7%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.79 -
$6.38
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.76
(14.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.37
Resistance Level
$6.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.49
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+165.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 5.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.11
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$4.77
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$4.46
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$5.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.2%)
$42.62
(+681%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 16.2%)
$8.58
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 16.2%)
$7.29
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$9.93
(+88%)
Analyst growth 56.0%, PE expands to 8.2
Base Case
$9.03
(+70%)
Market implied 56.0%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$3.94
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 5.5
Stabilization Target:
$6.69
(+22.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LFVN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Darwin Lewis
BUY
450 shares
2025-09-16
Michael A Beindorff
SELL
4125 shares
2025-09-09
Michael A Beindorff
SELL
200 shares
2025-09-09
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Advanced LFVN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LFVN price and gamma walls.
