LNG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LNG - Cheniere Energy Inc

NATURAL GAS DISTRIBUTION
$211.52
-1.47 (-0.69%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 19d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LNG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$253.89
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$157.64
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LNG is currently trading at $211.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $192.41 to $206.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LNG is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $214.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LNG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $266.23 (+25.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $192.41 - $206.33
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($266.23)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $192.41 - $206.33
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $202.21
Resistance Level $214.04
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.88
Wall Street Target $266.23 (+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 20.9%
Profit Margin 21.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.2% premium
PE vs Historical 14.9 vs 13.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $217.68 (+2%)
2-Year Target $222.46 (+4%)
3-Year Target $227.36 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $212.37 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.0%) $380.08 (+79%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 6.0%) $253.63 (+19%)
Bear: (PE: 12.6, Growth: 6.0%) $215.59 (+1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.92
Bull Case $180.75 (-15%)
Analyst growth -20.1%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case $164.32 (-23%)
Market implied -20.1%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case $139.90 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LNG price and gamma walls.

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