LNG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LNG - Cheniere Energy Inc
$281.16
5.32 (1.93%)
▲
5d:
-3.51%
30d:
+12.92%
90d:
+44.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
LNG is down 3.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $300 2026-06-18 with 2,691 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LNG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LNG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$369.40
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$229.37
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LNG is currently trading at $281.16, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $237.66 to $283.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LNG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $271.45, while resistance sits at $300.89.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LNG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $271.45, while resistance sits at $300.89.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$237.66 -
$283.41
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($295.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$237.66 -
$283.41
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$271.45
Resistance Level
$300.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.78
Wall Street Target
$295.00
(+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
146.4%
Profit Margin
27.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$291.00
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$301.19
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$311.73
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$280.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 11.8%)
$481.11
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 11.8%)
$392.50
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$333.63
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $24.13
Bull Case
$207.90
(-28%)
Analyst growth -32.7%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$189.00
(-34%)
Market implied -32.7%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$191.01
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 11:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LNG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Josh Gottheimer
SELL
2025-12-12
W Benjamin Moreland
BUY
5000 shares
2025-11-04
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LNG price and gamma walls.
