LNG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LNG - Cheniere Energy Inc
$294.12
-2.79 (-0.94%)
▼
5d:
+2.41%
30d:
+24.77%
90d:
+55.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
LNG is up 3.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $230 2026-05-01 with 8,011 OI. Put ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 2.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LNG trades at premium valuation expecting 5.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: LNG trades at premium valuation expecting 5.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$366.95
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$227.85
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LNG is currently trading at $294.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $232.22 to $279.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LNG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $300.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LNG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LNG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $300.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LNG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$232.22 -
$279.91
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
LNG is technically overbought (RSI 76). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.1% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($292.36)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.7% growth expectation is conservative given 146% recent growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$232.22 -
$279.91
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$248.30
Resistance Level
$300.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.72
Wall Street Target
$292.36
(-1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
146.4%
Profit Margin
27.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 15.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$313.83
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$331.72
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$350.63
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$296.78
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$523.91
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$414.49
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 11.8%)
$350.83
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $24.13
Bull Case
$207.90
(-28%)
Analyst growth -32.7%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$189.00
(-34%)
Market implied -32.7%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$191.01
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LNG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Josh Gottheimer
SELL
2025-12-12
W Benjamin Moreland
BUY
5000 shares
2025-11-04
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Advanced LNG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LNG price and gamma walls.
