LOGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LOGI - Logitech International SA

COMPUTER PERIPHERAL EQUIPMENT, NEC
$85.84
-2.64 (-2.98%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 27, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: LOGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.74
Based on -21.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.47
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LOGI is currently trading at $85.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.51 to $102.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LOGI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.40 (+25.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $91.51 - $102.04
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.9% below Wall St target ($111.40)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $91.51 - $102.04
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.32
Resistance Level $96.05
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.52
Wall Street Target $111.40 (+25.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 28.0%
Profit Margin 14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.5 vs 20.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $80.61 (-9%)
2-Year Target $73.43 (-17%)
3-Year Target $66.90 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16β†’21) $88.34 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -47.5%) $125.30 (+42%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: -47.5%) $87.23 (-1%)
Bear: (PE: 13.2, Growth: -47.5%) $74.14 (-16%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.77
Bull Case $113.88 (+33%)
Analyst growth 19.5%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case $103.53 (+21%)
Market implied 19.5%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case $58.92 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 20.5
Stabilization Target: $116.84 (+32.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +32.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Prakash Arunkundrum SELL 5000 shares 2025-09-16
Prakash Arunkundrum SELL 9900 shares 2025-09-04

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Advanced LOGI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LOGI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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