LPTH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LPTH - Lightpath Technologies Inc

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$10.42
-1.07 (-9.31%) ▼
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LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026 11d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LPTH is down 16.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LPTH is currently trading at $10.42, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.97 to $13.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 127.7) is in line with its historical norms (137.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4911.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LPTH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.85, while resistance sits at $15.24. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+13.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $9.97 - $13.05
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $9.97 - $13.05
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.85
Resistance Level $15.24
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 127.67
Wall Street Target $13.00 (+13.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 79.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4911.3%
Profit Margin -36.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 127.7 vs 137.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.23 (-2%)
2-Year Target $10.97 (-5%)
3-Year Target $10.72 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 128→137) $11.50 (+0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 127.7 to 137.0
Stabilization Target: $12.33 (+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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