LQDT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LQDT - Liquidity Services, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$31.16
0.30 (0.97%) โ–ฒ
5d: +4.56%
30d: -4.03%
90d: +2.8%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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๐Ÿ’ก
Bottom Line:
โœ… BUY SIGNAL: LQDT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.06
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.63
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LQDT is currently trading at $31.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.03 to $31.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.4) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LQDT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LQDT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+38.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $29.03 - $31.95
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 8th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 38.0% below Wall St target ($43.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $29.03 - $31.95
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ยฑ$1.75 (5.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.01
Resistance Level $31.50
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.37
Wall Street Target $43.00 (+38.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 27.8%
Profit Margin 6.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.4 vs 21.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.82 (-1%)
2-Year Target $30.48 (-2%)
3-Year Target $30.14 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20โ†’21) $31.23 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 2.7%) $34.08 (+9%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.7%) $33.74 (+8%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 2.7%) $28.68 (-8%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case $52.39 (+75%)
Analyst growth 66.3%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case $47.63 (+59%)
Market implied 66.3%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case $19.48 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
๐Ÿ’ก Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 21.1
Stabilization Target: $32.28 (+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.6%
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Last updated: April 04, 2026 12:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 PM
๐Ÿ”ฅ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven Weiskircher SELL 4967 shares 2026-03-06
Jaime Mateus-Tique SELL 12939 shares 2026-02-10
Jaime Mateus-Tique SELL 52061 shares 2026-02-09

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