LRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LRN - Stride, Inc.

SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
$84.60
0.56 (0.67%) β–²
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 27, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD - EXTENDED: LRN is 11.8% above fair value ($75.67). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.13
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.31
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LRN is currently trading at $84.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.00 to $75.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LRN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $68.55, while resistance sits at $92.45.

Market Sentiment: LRN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.00 (+32.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $65.00 - $75.67
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

Protect Your Profits

LRN is technically overbought (RSI 76). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.8% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 32.1% below Wall St target ($111.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $65.00 - $75.67
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $68.55
Resistance Level $92.46
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.36
Wall Street Target $111.00 (+32.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 47.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 108.3%
Profit Margin 12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.9% premium
PE vs Historical 9.4 vs 8.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $87.32 (+4%)
2-Year Target $90.72 (+8%)
3-Year Target $94.26 (+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9β†’8) PE COMPRESSION $83.58 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.9%) $244.68 (+191%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 6.9%) $102.71 (+22%)
Bear: (PE: 8.0, Growth: 6.9%) $87.31 (+4%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.51
Bull Case $125.53 (+48%)
Analyst growth 37.9%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case $114.11 (+35%)
Market implied 37.9%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case $56.27 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:28 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Jeaho Rhyu SELL 13961 shares 2025-08-19

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Advanced LRN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LRN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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