LSCC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LSCC - Lattice Semiconductor Corp

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$85.32
-5.07 (-5.61%) ▼
5d: -7.57%
30d: -10.77%
90d: +12.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

LSCC is down 5.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $95 2026-04-17 with 1,899 OI. Call ratio: 99% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSCC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.57
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LSCC is currently trading at $85.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.72 to $97.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 42.6) compared to its historical average (51.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LSCC is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $85.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $114.71 (+34.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $88.72 - $97.89
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.5% below Wall St target ($114.71)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.6% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $88.72 - $97.89
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $85.13
Resistance Level $101.64
Current Trend Support Break
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 42.58
Wall Street Target $114.71 (+34.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -60.0%
Profit Margin 0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 42.6 vs 51.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $80.29 (-6%)
2-Year Target $75.55 (-12%)
3-Year Target $71.09 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 43→51) $85.48 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 42.6, Growth: 28.1%) $179.27 (+110%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 28.1%) $94.09 (+10%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 28.1%) $79.98 (-6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (58x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (43x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 58.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.59
Bull Case $111.46 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 61.1
Base Case $92.31 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 58.1
Bear Case $70.62 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 52.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 42.6 to 51.2
Stabilization Target: $102.59 (+20.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +20.2%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tonya Stevens SELL 1113 shares 2026-03-11
Erhaan Shaikh SELL 1577 shares 2026-03-10
Pravin Desale SELL 2366 shares 2026-03-10

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Advanced LSCC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LSCC price and gamma walls.

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