LTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTC - LTC Properties, Inc.
$36.47
0.29 (0.80%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LTC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LTC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.11
Based on 14.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.29
13.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTC is currently trading at $36.47, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.64 to $36.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $35.25, while resistance sits at $37.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $35.25, while resistance sits at $37.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$34.64 -
$36.65
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.14)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 33.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$34.64 -
$36.65
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.45
(4.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.25
Resistance Level
$37.95
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.94
Wall Street Target
$38.14
(+5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.3%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.32
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$36.47
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$36.62
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 24.0%)
$81.16
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 24.0%)
$68.94
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 24.0%)
$58.60
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$77.55
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.9
Base Case
$70.50
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.0
Bear Case
$23.97
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LTC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LTC price and gamma walls.
