LTC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTC - LTC Properties, Inc.
$37.32
0.08 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
+1.72%
30d:
-5.95%
90d:
+9.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LTC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LTC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.45
Based on -0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.53
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTC is currently trading at $37.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.54 to $39.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.29 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.29 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$37.54 -
$39.52
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.29)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$37.54 -
$39.52
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.62
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.22
Resistance Level
$39.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.97
Wall Street Target
$41.29
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
59.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
439.9%
Profit Margin
45.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.07
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$40.91
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$42.83
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: -5.2%)
$31.75
(+-15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -5.2%)
$30.90
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -5.2%)
$26.26
(-30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$27.83
(-24%)
Analyst growth -30.8%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$25.30
(-31%)
Market implied -30.8%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$24.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
David L Gruber
BUY
7000 shares
2026-03-05
David M Boitano
BUY
10000 shares
2025-12-31
David L Gruber
BUY
1000 shares
2025-11-07
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