STRW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRW - Strawberry Fields REIT, Inc.
$13.09
-0.04 (-0.34%)
▼
5d:
+2.07%
30d:
+5.1%
90d:
+1.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.13
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.36
8.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRW is currently trading at $13.09, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.49 to $13.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.93 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.93 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$12.49 -
$13.11
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.49 -
$13.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.50
Resistance Level
$13.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.27
Wall Street Target
$14.93
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.6%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.21
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$13.29
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$13.37
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 21.1%)
$33.68
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 21.1%)
$23.33
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 21.1%)
$19.83
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$19.22
(+46%)
Analyst growth 34.4%, PE expands to 22.3
Base Case
$17.47
(+33%)
Market implied 34.4%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$8.84
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 1:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Greg Curtis Flamion
BUY
1431 shares
2026-01-16
Jeffrey Bajtner
BUY
1431 shares
2026-01-16
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