VTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTR - Ventas, Inc.
$88.14
0.69 (0.79%)
▲
5d:
+0.51%
30d:
+3.57%
90d:
+1.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTR is currently trading at $88.14, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.84 to $88.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 104.1) is in line with its historical norms (108.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.17, while resistance sits at $91.06.
Market Sentiment: VTR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.17, while resistance sits at $91.06.
Market Sentiment: VTR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$83.84 -
$88.37
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($95.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.84 -
$88.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.17
Resistance Level
$91.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
104.10
Wall Street Target
$95.40
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
104.1 vs 108.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.08
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$86.04
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$85.00
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 104→108)
$88.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 104.1, Growth: 58.3%)
$297.47
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 58.3%)
$63.15
(-28%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 58.3%)
$53.68
(-39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (143x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (104x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 142.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.61
Bull Case
$105.60
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 150.0
Base Case
$87.45
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 142.9
Bear Case
$66.90
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 128.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 104.1 to 108.1
Stabilization Target:
$91.53
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 5:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Carey S Roberts
SELL
35532 shares
2026-02-11
Debra A Cafaro
SELL
10322 shares
2026-02-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
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