LULU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LULU - lululemon athletica inc.
$145.78
-0.07 (-0.05%)
▼
5d:
-11.32%
30d:
-21.27%
90d:
-30.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 25, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
LULU is up 5.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $150 2026-06-18 with 2,820 OI. Put ratio: 63% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LULU is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LULU is down 11.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$176.77
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.76
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $145.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.70 to $179.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $143.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.80 (+26.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $143.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.80 (+26.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$156.70 -
$179.36
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LULU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($183.80)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$156.70 -
$179.36
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$143.96
Resistance Level
$169.40
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.62
Wall Street Target
$183.80
(+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.5%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.10
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$128.87
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$121.14
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$146.00
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$251.52
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: -3.7%)
$130.44
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: -3.7%)
$110.87
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.25
Bull Case
$169.72
(+3%)
Analyst growth -5.2%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$154.29
(-6%)
Market implied -5.2%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$110.72
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$175.78
(+20.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LULU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
3
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-06
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Advanced LULU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LULU price and gamma walls.
