LULU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LULU - lululemon athletica inc.
$174.50
1.96 (1.14%)
▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 25, 2026
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3 traders called LULU this week
50% bullish • 2 bearish
50% bullish • 2 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LULU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LULU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$186.59
Based on 0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.86
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $174.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $189.16 to $214.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $171.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $208.66 (+20.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $171.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $208.66 (+20.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$189.16 -
$214.23
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LULU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($208.66)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.7% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$189.16 -
$214.23
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$171.30
Resistance Level
$205.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.63
Wall Street Target
$208.66
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.7%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$169.43
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$166.38
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$163.39
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
$172.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -3.0%)
$258.01
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: -3.0%)
$157.71
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: -3.0%)
$134.05
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.39
Bull Case
$174.50
(0%)
Analyst growth -12.0%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$158.64
(-9%)
Market implied -12.0%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$122.64
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$182.27
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LULU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicole Neuburger
SELL
615 shares
2025-09-30
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
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