LW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LW - Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$39.35
0.87 (2.26%)
▲
5d:
-3.62%
30d:
-14.51%
90d:
-6.06%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
LW is down 12.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $55 2026-04-17 with 2,572 OI. Call ratio: 60% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.59
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.48
0.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LW is currently trading at $39.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.23 to $46.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.62, while resistance sits at $42.69.
Market Sentiment: LW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.82 (+31.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.62, while resistance sits at $42.69.
Market Sentiment: LW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.82 (+31.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$40.23 -
$46.29
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.7% below Wall St target ($51.82)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$40.23 -
$46.29
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.62
Resistance Level
$42.69
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.83
Wall Street Target
$51.82
(+31.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.2%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.46
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$35.66
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$33.95
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$39.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 9.7%)
$83.35
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$51.99
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 9.7%)
$44.19
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.76
Bull Case
$48.59
(+19%)
Analyst growth 10.4%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$44.18
(+8%)
Market implied 10.4%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$27.20
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$45.70
(+16.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 11:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jan Eli B Craps
BUY
50000 shares
2026-02-06
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Advanced LW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LW price and gamma walls.
