LXFR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LXFR - Luxfer Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares
$12.14
-0.08 (-0.65%)
▼
5d:
-1.7%
30d:
-4.33%
90d:
-10.27%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LXFR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LXFR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.31
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.23
8.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LXFR is currently trading at $12.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.52 to $13.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.31, while resistance sits at $12.89.
Market Sentiment: LXFR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+40.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.31, while resistance sits at $12.89.
Market Sentiment: LXFR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+40.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$11.52 -
$13.35
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.0% below Wall St target ($17.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.52 -
$13.35
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.31
Resistance Level
$12.89
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.63
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+40.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.4%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.47
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$10.84
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$10.25
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$12.12
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 12.5%)
$36.90
(+204%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 12.5%)
$17.29
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$14.69
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$25.32
(+109%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$23.02
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$7.83
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$14.36
(+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LXFR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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