LYB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYB - LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A
$49.00
-0.95 (-1.90%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When LYB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.39
9.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYB is currently trading at $49.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.34 to $50.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$44.34 -
$50.82
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.53)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with -10.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$44.34 -
$50.82
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.38
Resistance Level
$52.91
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.99
Wall Street Target
$49.53
(-0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.7%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.70
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$53.51
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$55.38
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 47.6%)
$239.11
(+379%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 47.6%)
$160.75
(+222%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 47.6%)
$136.64
(+174%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LYB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-09-25
Peter Z E Vanacker
SELL
20000 shares
2025-08-15
Top Rated Specialty Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LIN
Linde plc Ordinary Shares |
BUY
28 analysts |
$505 | 63 BUY |
|
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co |
BUY
28 analysts |
$386 | 61 BUY |
|
DD
Dupont De Nemours Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$49 | 65 BUY |
|
APD
Air Products and Chemica… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$294 | 66 BUY |
|
IFF
International Flavors & … |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$82 | 60 HOLD |
Advanced LYB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYB price and gamma walls.
