LYB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYB - LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A
$76.71
-3.85 (-4.78%)
▼
5d:
-0.62%
30d:
+31.78%
90d:
+75.7%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026
21d
Smart Money Distribution
LYB is up 9.9% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $70 2026-04-17 with 13,492 OI. Put ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.97
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.94
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYB is currently trading at $76.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.79 to $77.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.22, while resistance sits at $83.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: LYB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $65.18. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.22, while resistance sits at $83.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: LYB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $65.18. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$60.79 -
$77.13
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.8%)
- BEARISH: Trading 15.0% above Wall St target ($65.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with -9.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$60.79 -
$77.13
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.22
Resistance Level
$83.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.92
Wall Street Target
$65.18
(-15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.7%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 14.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.47
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$84.41
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$88.55
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.3%)
$151.48
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.3%)
$114.67
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 14.3%)
$97.47
(+27%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ai Investments Holdings …
SELL
842 shares
2026-03-09
Ai Investments Holdings …
SELL
384548 shares
2026-03-09
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
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Advanced LYB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYB price and gamma walls.
