LYTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYTS - LSI Industries Inc
$18.51
-0.24 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
-1.59%
30d:
-10.88%
90d:
+1.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
18d
Get Alerted When LYTS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LYTS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LYTS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.95
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.42
27.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $18.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.72 to $20.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LYTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+64.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LYTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+64.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$18.72 -
$20.90
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 64.8% below Wall St target ($30.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.72 -
$20.90
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.09
Resistance Level
$20.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.68
Wall Street Target
$30.50
(+64.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 14.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.58
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$16.71
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$15.87
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$18.53
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 23.7%)
$56.89
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 23.7%)
$35.06
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 23.7%)
$29.80
(+61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case
$39.26
(+100%)
Analyst growth 86.6%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$35.69
(+82%)
Market implied 86.6%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$13.01
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$21.61
(+16.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 04, 2026 3:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LYTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Electronic Components Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Electronic Components by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CLS
Celestica Inc. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$381 | 60 BUY |
|
TEL
TE Connectivity Ltd |
BUY
20 analysts |
$275 | 59 HOLD |
|
APH
Amphenol Corporation |
BUY
18 analysts |
$169 | 52 HOLD |
|
FLEX
Flex Ltd |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$75 | 63 BUY |
|
GLW
Corning Incorporated |
BUY
14 analysts |
$128 | 58 HOLD |
