MAGN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MAGN - Magnera Corporation

PAPER MILLS
$13.07
-0.18 (-1.36%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MAGN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.19
56.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MAGN is currently trading at $13.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.71 to $15.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MAGN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+28.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $13.71 - $15.03
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 26th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.3% below Wall St target ($17.00)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.0% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $13.71 - $15.03
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.35 (10.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.78
Resistance Level $15.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.60
Wall Street Target $17.00 (+28.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 51.4%
Profit Margin -5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -19.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 16.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -19.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.92 (-10%)
2-Year Target $10.73 (-19%)
3-Year Target $9.66 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→16) $18.20 (+37%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 53.3%) $115.99 (+775%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 53.3%) $44.72 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: 53.3%) $38.01 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 16.2
Stabilization Target: $24.97 (+88.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +88.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MAGN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MAGN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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