MATV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATV - Mativ Holdings, Inc.
$12.05
-0.25 (-2.03%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MATV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MATV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.91
19.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATV is currently trading at $12.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.13 to $12.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.25 (+48.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.25 (+48.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$12.13 -
$12.94
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MATV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 48.4% below Wall St target ($18.25)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.13 -
$12.94
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.00
(8.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.86
Resistance Level
$13.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.77
Wall Street Target
$18.25
(+48.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.0%
Profit Margin
-22.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.28
(0%)
2-Year Target
$12.25
(0%)
3-Year Target
$12.23
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$12.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 54.8%)
$78.65
(+539%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 54.8%)
$41.51
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 54.8%)
$35.29
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 11.8
Stabilization Target:
$12.33
(+0.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MATV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MATV price and gamma walls.
