MGNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGNI - Magnite, Inc. Common Stock
$14.47
-0.55 (-3.66%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MGNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MGNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.80
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.64
13.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $14.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.94 to $16.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 252.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $15.95. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.86 (+78.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $15.95. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.86 (+78.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$14.94 -
$16.58
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MGNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 78.8% below Wall St target ($26.86)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.94 -
$16.58
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.80
Resistance Level
$15.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.37
Wall Street Target
$26.86
(+78.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
252.2%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.84
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$14.66
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$14.49
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$15.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 19.2%)
$39.47
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 19.2%)
$25.44
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 19.2%)
$21.62
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.40
Bull Case
$32.69
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case
$29.72
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.2
Bear Case
$10.10
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$15.57
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
7500 shares
2025-09-19
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SELL
8522 shares
2025-09-19
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6180 shares
2025-09-15
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