MGNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGNI - Magnite, Inc. Common Stock
$11.65
-0.20 (-1.69%)
▼
5d:
-5.9%
30d:
-13.58%
90d:
-29.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
MGNI is down 7.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $14 2026-05-15 with 2,055 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
Get Alerted When MGNI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MGNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MGNI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.42
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.78
26.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $11.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.79 to $13.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 230.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MGNI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.07 (+89.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MGNI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.07 (+89.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$11.79 -
$13.40
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MGNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 89.5% below Wall St target ($22.07)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.9%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.79 -
$13.40
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.36
Resistance Level
$13.04
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.50
Wall Street Target
$22.07
(+89.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
230.0%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.46
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.52
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$11.66
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.7%)
$42.59
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 15.7%)
$18.06
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 15.7%)
$15.35
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$17.58
(+41%)
Analyst growth 29.1%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$15.99
(+28%)
Market implied 29.1%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$8.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$15.95
(+36.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MGNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Adam Lee Soroca
SELL
21529 shares
2026-02-18
Adam Lee Soroca
SELL
16656 shares
2025-12-17
Robert F Spillane
SELL
12500 shares
2025-11-21
Top Rated Advertising Agencies Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Advertising Agencies by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TTD
Trade Desk Inc |
BUY
41 analysts |
$31 | 50 HOLD |
|
APP
Applovin Corp |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$649 | 52 HOLD |
|
DV
DoubleVerify Holdings Inc |
BUY
20 analysts |
$13 | 48 HOLD |
|
IAS
Integral Ad Science Hold… |
BUY
16 analysts |
$11 | 54 HOLD |
|
NEXN
Nexxen International Ltd |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$12 | 53 HOLD |
Advanced MGNI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MGNI price and gamma walls.
