NEXN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NEXN - Nexxen International Ltd. Ordinary Shares

Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
$8.02
0.41 (5.39%) ▲
5d: +3.75%
30d: +10.62%
90d: +32.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NEXN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.94
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.79
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEXN is currently trading at $8.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.02 to $7.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: NEXN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.69 (+53.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $7.02 - $7.67
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 53.6% below Wall St target ($11.69)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with -10.3% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $7.02 - $7.67
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.13
Resistance Level $8.16
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.29
Wall Street Target $11.69 (+53.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -43.1%
Profit Margin 6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.4% premium
PE vs Historical 6.3 vs 6.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.72 (+1%)
2-Year Target $7.82 (+3%)
3-Year Target $7.93 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→6) PE COMPRESSION $7.57 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.2%) $38.62 (+408%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 13.2%) $11.03 (+45%)
Bear: (PE: 5.3, Growth: 13.2%) $9.37 (+23%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.41
Bull Case $16.35 (+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case $14.86 (+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case $5.05 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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