MH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MH - McGraw Hill, Inc.
$14.75
-0.08 (-0.54%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.21
19.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MH is currently trading at $14.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.53 to $16.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.74, while resistance sits at $15.69.
Market Sentiment: MH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.75 (+40.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.74, while resistance sits at $15.69.
Market Sentiment: MH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.75 (+40.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$14.53 -
$16.30
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.7% below Wall St target ($20.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.53 -
$16.30
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.74
Resistance Level
$15.69
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.30
Wall Street Target
$20.75
(+40.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Profit Margin
-3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.63
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$14.51
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$14.40
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$14.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 45.9%)
$109.78
(+644%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 45.9%)
$45.79
(+211%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 45.9%)
$38.92
(+164%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$15.06
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
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