MIDD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIDD - Middleby Corp
$147.17
-2.82 (-1.88%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MIDD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MIDD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$173.50
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$107.73
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIDD is currently trading at $147.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $147.54 to $154.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIDD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $144.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.88 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIDD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $144.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $166.88 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$147.54 -
$154.51
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($166.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 4.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$147.54 -
$154.51
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.54
(3.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$144.36
Resistance Level
$153.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.62
Wall Street Target
$166.88
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.6%
Profit Margin
-5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$148.79
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$150.43
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$152.08
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$147.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.1%)
$237.13
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 4.1%)
$166.10
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 4.1%)
$141.19
(-4%)
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIDD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2025-09-18
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Advanced MIDD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MIDD price and gamma walls.
