MLM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLM - Martin Marietta Materials
$598.92
10.24 (1.74%)
▲
5d:
+1.61%
30d:
-8.81%
90d:
-5.15%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
MLM is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $680 2026-04-17 with 175 OI. Call ratio: 82% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
Get Alerted When MLM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$980.93
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$609.08
1.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLM is currently trading at $598.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $569.99 to $654.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.3) is in line with its historical norms (27.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $602.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MLM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $702.25 (+17.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $602.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MLM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $702.25 (+17.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$569.99 -
$654.48
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($702.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$569.99 -
$654.48
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$26.56
(4.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$554.72
Resistance Level
$602.51
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.31
Wall Street Target
$702.25
(+17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Profit Margin
18.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.3 vs 27.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$579.75
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$561.20
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$543.24
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→28)
$598.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.3, Growth: 17.5%)
$970.94
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.5%)
$857.23
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 17.5%)
$728.65
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.32
Bull Case
$894.12
(+55%)
Analyst growth 45.0%, PE expands to 37.8
Base Case
$812.83
(+41%)
Market implied 45.0%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case
$381.27
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.3 to 27.9
Stabilization Target:
$660.09
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MLM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2026-02-23
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Top Rated Building Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CRH
CRH PLC ADR |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$142 | 56 HOLD |
|
VMC
Vulcan Materials Company |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$326 | 55 HOLD |
|
CX
Cemex SAB de CV ADR |
BUY
14 analysts |
$14 | 57 HOLD |
|
KNF
Knife River Corporation |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$103 | 53 HOLD |
|
EXP
Eagle Materials Inc |
HOLD
11 analysts |
$223 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced MLM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MLM price and gamma walls.
