KNF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNF - Knife River Corporation
$84.88
2.01 (2.43%)
▲
5d:
-8.63%
30d:
+8.22%
90d:
+3.37%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KNF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KNF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$168.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.33
18.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNF is currently trading at $84.88, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.25 to $86.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.9) is in line with its historical norms (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 36.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $79.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.89 (+22.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNF is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $79.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.89 (+22.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$75.25 -
$86.89
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.4% below Wall St target ($103.89)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.25 -
$86.89
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.01
Resistance Level
$79.64
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.86
Wall Street Target
$103.89
(+22.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.1%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 21.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$83.86
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$83.36
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
$84.74
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.7%)
$180.13
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 26.7%)
$172.48
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 26.7%)
$146.61
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.57
Bull Case
$144.36
(+70%)
Analyst growth 58.4%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$131.24
(+55%)
Market implied 58.4%, PE stable at 32.3
Bear Case
$56.35
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.9 to 21.2
Stabilization Target:
$86.28
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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