MMM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MMM - 3M Company
$153.16
-3.22 (-2.06%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
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3 traders called MMM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MMM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MMM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$234.60
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.67
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MMM is currently trading at $153.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.43 to $166.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $153.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MMM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $177.03 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MMM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $153.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MMM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $177.03 (+13.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$157.43 -
$166.63
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MMM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($177.03)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.9%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$157.43 -
$166.63
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$153.07
Resistance Level
$171.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.72
Wall Street Target
$177.03
(+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.5%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 18.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$150.44
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$144.72
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$139.22
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$156.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.9%)
$261.73
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 7.9%)
$196.28
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 7.9%)
$166.84
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.01
Bull Case
$270.49
(+73%)
Analyst growth 55.6%, PE expands to 28.9
Base Case
$245.90
(+57%)
Market implied 55.6%, PE stable at 26.3
Bear Case
$107.47
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$175.79
(+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.4%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MMM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-08-14
Christian T Goralski Jr
SELL
6165 shares
2025-08-07
Theresa E Reinseth
SELL
3477 shares
2025-08-05
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