HON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HON - Honeywell International, Inc.
$217.72
-0.24 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
-6.23%
90d:
-9.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
HON is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $260 2026-06-18 with 5,618 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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3 traders called HON this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HON shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$311.11
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$193.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HON is currently trading at $217.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $212.49 to $230.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $221.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HON has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $247.90 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HON is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $221.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HON has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $247.90 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$212.49 -
$230.08
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($247.90)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$212.49 -
$230.08
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$208.54
Resistance Level
$221.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.97
Wall Street Target
$247.90
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.9%
Profit Margin
10.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 19.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$214.67
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$211.67
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$208.70
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$217.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.0%)
$327.67
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.0%)
$282.05
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$239.74
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.23
Bull Case
$441.65
(+103%)
Analyst growth 84.2%, PE expands to 38.5
Base Case
$401.50
(+84%)
Market implied 84.2%, PE stable at 35.0
Bear Case
$148.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$227.23
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-19
D Scott Davis
SELL
2367 shares
2026-02-19
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