MOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOV - Movado Group, Inc.
$22.80
-0.09 (-0.39%)
ā¼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
Get Alerted When MOV Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: MOV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: MOV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.75
17.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOV is currently trading at $22.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.15 to $22.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.75 (+34.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.75 (+34.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$21.15 -
$22.77
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.3% below Wall St target ($30.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.15 -
$22.77
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
Ā±$1.62
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.67
Resistance Level
$23.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.86
Wall Street Target
$30.75
(+34.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
3.3%
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 14.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.89
(0%)
2-Year Target
$22.89
(0%)
3-Year Target
$22.89
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15ā15)
$22.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 35.6%)
$85.67
(+274%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 35.6%)
$57.10
(+150%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 35.6%)
$48.54
(+112%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.97
Bull Case
$38.91
(+71%)
Analyst growth 58.8%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$35.37
(+55%)
Market implied 58.8%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$15.15
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
š„ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Luxury Goods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Luxury Goods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TPR
Tapestry Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$134 | 57 HOLD |
|
CPRI
Capri Holdings Ltd |
SELL
16 analysts |
$29 | 52 HOLD |
|
SIG
Signet Jewelers Ltd |
HOLD
7 analysts |
$112 | 59 HOLD |
|
REAL
TheRealReal Inc |
HOLD
7 analysts |
$18 | 54 HOLD |
|
LUXE
LuxExperience B.V. |
HOLD
5 analysts |
$10 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced MOV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOV price and gamma walls.
