MPTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPTI - M-tron Industries, Inc.
$65.24
1.71 (2.69%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MPTI trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MPTI trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.36
4.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPTI is currently trading at $65.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.57 to $65.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (20.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPTI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$54.57 -
$65.04
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 7.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$54.57 -
$65.04
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.79
Resistance Level
$65.64
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.12
Wall Street Target
$69.00
(+5.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 20.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.44
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$71.79
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$75.31
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 55.8%)
$66.34
(+2%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 55.8%)
$61.34
(-6%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 55.8%)
$52.14
(-20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.40
Bull Case
$76.83
(+18%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case
$69.85
(+7%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$42.14
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MPTI price and gamma walls.
