MRNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MRNA - Moderna, Inc. Common Stock

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$50.07
-0.35 (-0.69%) ▼
5d: +3.15%
30d: -7.72%
90d: +24.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

MRNA is down 5.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-06-18 with 20,355 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MRNA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Company currently unprofitable (negative forward earnings). Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MRNA is currently trading at $50.07, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.81 to $53.77.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MRNA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.68, while resistance sits at $59.48.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $43.37. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $47.81 - $53.77
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 64.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 14.0% above Wall St target ($43.37)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $47.81 - $53.77
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $43.68
Resistance Level $59.48
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -10.67
Wall Street Target $43.37 (-14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 260.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.1%
Profit Margin -143.6%
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 3:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Hoge SELL 160009 shares 2026-02-23
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-23
Noubar Afeyan SELL 23853 shares 2025-12-11

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Advanced MRNA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MRNA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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