MSIF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSIF - MSC Income Fund, Inc.
$12.97
-0.27 (-2.04%)
▼
5d:
-2.63%
30d:
-1.29%
90d:
+1.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MSIF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MSIF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.87
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.85
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSIF is currently trading at $12.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.11 to $13.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 205.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSIF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MSIF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.80 (+21.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSIF is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MSIF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.80 (+21.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.11 -
$13.51
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($15.80)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.11 -
$13.51
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.77
Resistance Level
$13.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.81
Wall Street Target
$15.80
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
205.6%
Profit Margin
57.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.81
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.66
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$12.51
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$12.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 2.9%)
$35.76
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 2.9%)
$14.13
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 2.9%)
$12.01
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case
$12.46
(-4%)
Analyst growth -14.4%, PE expands to 8.5
Base Case
$11.33
(-13%)
Market implied -14.4%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$9.00
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$13.40
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 8:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:28 AM
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Is MSIF showing a specific setup today?
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