MTLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTLS - Materialise NV
$5.56
0.05 (0.91%)
▲
5d:
-3.64%
30d:
+0.18%
90d:
-1.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTLS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MTLS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.39
13.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTLS is currently trading at $5.56, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.49 to $5.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.3) is in line with its historical norms (26.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTLS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.39, while resistance sits at $5.87.
Market Sentiment: MTLS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.80 (+58.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTLS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.39, while resistance sits at $5.87.
Market Sentiment: MTLS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.80 (+58.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$5.49 -
$5.84
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.3% below Wall St target ($8.80)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.49 -
$5.84
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.75
(13.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.39
Resistance Level
$5.87
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.29
Wall Street Target
$8.80
(+58.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.0%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.3 vs 26.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.54
(0%)
2-Year Target
$5.52
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$5.49
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→27)
$5.56
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.3, Growth: 151.5%)
$18.77
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 151.5%)
$15.92
(+186%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 151.5%)
$13.53
(+143%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (55x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 55.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.10
Bull Case
$12.12
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 60.6
Base Case
$11.02
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 55.1
Bear Case
$3.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.3 to 26.6
Stabilization Target:
$5.63
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 8:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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