MXL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MXL - MaxLinear, Inc. Common Stock
$17.35
-1.92 (-9.96%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MXL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MXL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.07
17.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MXL is currently trading at $17.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.79 to $19.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.8) compared to its historical average (23.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$17.79 -
$19.22
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MXL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.4% growth with 55.9% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.79 -
$19.22
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.85
Resistance Level
$20.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.77
Wall Street Target
$20.75
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.4%
Profit Margin
-42.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 23.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.93
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$20.60
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$21.30
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 159.3%)
$65.04
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 159.3%)
$56.27
(+192%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 159.3%)
$47.83
(+148%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MXL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven G Litchfield
SELL
102157 shares
2025-08-26
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Advanced MXL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MXL price and gamma walls.
