MZTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MZTI - The Marzetti Company Common Stock
$171.57
3.99 (2.38%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
2d
Get Alerted When MZTI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MZTI is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MZTI is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$209.54
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$130.11
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MZTI is currently trading at $171.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $164.80 to $169.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.7) is in line with its historical norms (22.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MZTI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $171.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.20 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MZTI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $171.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.20 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$164.80 -
$169.21
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MZTI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($196.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$164.80 -
$169.21
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.00
(3.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.47
Resistance Level
$171.51
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.68
Wall Street Target
$196.20
(+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Profit Margin
8.8%
PE vs Historical
22.7 vs 22.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$167.58
(0%)
2-Year Target
$167.58
(0%)
3-Year Target
$167.58
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
$167.75
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 5.1%)
$194.67
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.1%)
$191.43
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 5.1%)
$162.72
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.17
Bull Case
$227.19
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case
$206.54
(+20%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case
$117.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MZTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Featured in Portfolios
MZTI is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Packaged Foods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaged Foods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FRPT
Freshpet Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$74 | 62 BUY |
|
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$48 | 57 HOLD |
|
BRBR
Bellring Brands LLC |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$37 | 52 HOLD |
|
CPB
Campbell’s Co |
SELL
23 analysts |
$32 | 64 BUY |
|
SJM
The J. M. Smucker Company |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$115 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced MZTI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MZTI price and gamma walls.