NAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NAT - Nordic American Tanker
$4.16
-0.06 (-1.42%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
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1 traders called NAT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NAT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NAT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.20
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.47
7.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NAT is currently trading at $4.16, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.50 to $4.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NAT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NAT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NAT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$3.50 -
$4.13
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with -12.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.50 -
$4.13
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.96
Resistance Level
$4.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.22
Wall Street Target
$4.25
(+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-72.2%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.41
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$4.60
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$4.80
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 390.0%)
$18.44
(+337%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 390.0%)
$14.24
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 390.0%)
$12.11
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.01
Bull Case
$0.36
(-91%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$0.33
(-92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$0.11
(-97%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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